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Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 43.93%2.28fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.81%43.86%45.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.64%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 56.07%1.78fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.76%56.19%56.14%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7662.89%59.71%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 43.93%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 56.07%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.03%E +0.447%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.03%E +0.447%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.28%E -6.43%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -6.44%E -3.02%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -1.31%E -0.744%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:42 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 04:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.20%E -3.92%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-01 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%EV -10.84%E -6.82%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.