Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-09-01 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%45.83%45.77%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.052.052.1351.55%48.89%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 54.20%1.85fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.17%54.23%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7960.61%57.65%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 45.80%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 54.20%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.13, with an expected value of -2.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.44%E -1.14%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 12:00
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.53%E -1.98%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 12:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.07%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 12:19
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.64%E -2.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:03
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:00
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.27%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.10%E -2.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 13:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.39%E -4.20%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.78%E -3.94%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.31%E -4.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:04
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.68%E -5.48%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.58%E -6.41%K -16.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -11.14%E -5.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%EV -10.58%E -6.41%K -16.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.