默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-09-01 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 43.93%2.28公平赔率

EV +1.03%

优势 +0.447%

Kelly +0.792%

增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

42.07%43.81%43.86%45.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.64%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 56.07%1.78公平赔率

EV -1.31%

优势 -0.744%

Kelly -1.72%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

54.76%56.19%56.14%57.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.591.671.671.7662.89%59.71%59.88%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：43.93%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：56.07%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.28。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.30，对应+1.03%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.03%E +0.447%K +0.792%G +0.008%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-01 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.03%E +0.447%K +0.792%G +0.008%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-01 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-01 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.28%E -6.43%K -17.14%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-01 08:35
FanDuel🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:30
BetRivers🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:30
Unibet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:30
Coolbet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 07:49
Betsson🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-01 08:20
NordicBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-01 08:20
DraftKings🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-01 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.80%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:54
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-01 08:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-01 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-01 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-01 08:50
Bovada🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-01 08:18
1xBet🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -6.44%E -3.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -1.31%E -0.744%K -1.72%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-01 08:20
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-31 16:42
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.41%K -5.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-31 20:09
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-31 22:50
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-01 04:40
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-01 08:50
BetUS🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -8.20%E -3.92%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -4.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 08:50
Coral🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-31 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.93%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-01 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%EV -10.84%E -6.82%K -18.38%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-09-01 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。