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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 52.12%1.92fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%52.31%52.00%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.69%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV -0.417%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.69%48.00%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.971.962.0854.35%50.81%51.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 08:45
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 08:45
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 08:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 22:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:40
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:40
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:40
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:43
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:04
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:39
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:54
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 22:03
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 08:40
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.22%E -4.06%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.417%E -0.200%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 06:19
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:54
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:54
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.78%E -5.02%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.03%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.35%E -6.02%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -11.39%E -6.70%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.91%E -6.47%K -14.18%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-10 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.