The School of Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-10 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 52.19%1.92fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.18%52.14%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.801.8558%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.974%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.82%47.86%49.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.972.002.0554%51%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-09 16:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.87%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:09
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -9.65%E -5.10%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 16:20
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.96%E -2.15%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 16:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 15:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:09
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:10
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 16:12
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.53%E -3.05%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.82%E -2.96%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 16:04
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:04
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.00%E -0.974%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:05
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 16:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 15:59
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 15:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 15:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 16:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 15:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.17%E -4.83%K -10.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 16:49
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:59
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:59
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:59
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 16:05
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 16:28
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.17%E -4.83%K -10.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-09 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -11.08%E -5.96%K -12.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:04
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -10.75%E -6.29%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -10.60%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-09 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.