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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 52.12%1.92公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
49.87%52.31%52.00%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.69%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 47.88%2.09公平赔率
EV -0.417%
优势 -0.200%
Kelly -0.386%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.09%47.69%48.00%50.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.971.962.0854.35%50.81%51.02%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：52.12%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：47.88%。 对于“Orix Buffaloes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.08，期望值为-0.417%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-10 08:45
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 08:45
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 22:00
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.85%E -0.904%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:39
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 08:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 08:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.56%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 22:03
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 08:40
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.22%E -4.06%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.417%E -0.200%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 06:19
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.78%E -5.02%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.03%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.35%E -6.02%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 08:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -11.39%E -6.70%K -16.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.91%E -6.47%K -14.18%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-10 08:38
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。