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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd
EV +0.968%
Edge +0.465%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%48.33%48.52%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.27%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd
EV -0.686%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%51.67%51.48%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.831.9357.80%55.14%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 48.54%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 51.46%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.968%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +0.968%E +0.465%K +0.896%G +0.009% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 07:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.974%E -0.477%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 08:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -10.46%E -6.01%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.80%E -2.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.80%E -2.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -0.686%E -0.356%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.80%E -2.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-14 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.83%E -3.00%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 08:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 08:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 14:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.77%E -4.09%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 08:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.23%E -4.93%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.686%E -0.356%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 08:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.93%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.73%EV -11.65%E -6.40%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.27%EV -10.98%E -6.35%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-15 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.