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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-05-15 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 48.54%2.06公平赔率
EV +0.968%
优势 +0.465%
Kelly +0.896%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.11%48.33%48.52%50.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.951.952.0854.95%51.27%51.28%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 51.46%1.94公平赔率
EV -0.686%
优势 -0.356%
Kelly -0.738%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
49.21%51.67%51.48%53.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.811.831.9357.80%55.14%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：48.54%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：51.46%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.06。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.08，对应+0.968%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +0.968%E +0.465%K +0.896%G +0.009%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 07:09
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -0.974%E -0.477%K -0.937%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:04
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -10.46%E -6.01%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.80%E -2.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 08:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.80%E -2.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -0.686%E -0.356%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 08:50
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.80%E -2.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 22:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.95%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.83%E -3.00%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 08:29
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:30
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 14:08
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 08:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 08:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 22:40
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.77%E -4.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 08:24
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.23%E -4.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.686%E -0.356%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 08:44
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -4.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.73%EV -11.65%E -6.40%K -14.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.27%EV -10.98%E -6.35%K -15.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-15 08:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。