Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

2026-08-07 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.10%53.20%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.781.8359.17%56.26%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%46.90%46.80%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0852.63%50.12%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 53.18%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 46.82%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.08, with an expected value of -2.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 15:10
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 15:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 17:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.29%E -3.68%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 15:09
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:10
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 15:10
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.88%E -2.93%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 15:08
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 15:09
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 15:19
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 18:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.01%E -4.63%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.54%E -4.96%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -9.07%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -9.63%E -4.99%K -10.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 15:09
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.06%EV -10.13%E -6.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.94%EV -10.57%E -5.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-06 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%EV -10.13%E -6.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%EV -11.03%E -5.81%K -12.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.