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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 52.18%1.92fair odd
EV -0.849%
Edge -0.447%
Kelly -0.943%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%52.31%52.12%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.811.9058.48%55.55%55.25%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.69%47.88%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.972.0254.64%50.98%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 52.18%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 47.82%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -0.849%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -0.849%E -0.447%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.89%E -1.01%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.89%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.94%E -1.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 08:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 08:43 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.02%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.28%E -3.21%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 20:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 08:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 20:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 08:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.63%E -4.31%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 08:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.20%E -5.29%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.76%E -6.29%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -10.76%E -6.29%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.