默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-07 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

52%

48%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 52.18%1.92公平赔率

EV -0.849%

优势 -0.447%

Kelly -0.943%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布

49.60%52.31%52.12%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.711.801.811.9058.48%55.55%55.25%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 47.82%2.09公平赔率

EV -3.41%

优势 -1.69%

Kelly -3.35%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布

46.09%47.69%47.88%50.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.831.961.972.0254.64%50.98%50.76%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：52.18%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：47.82%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.90，期望值为-0.849%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetUS🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -0.849%E -0.447%K -0.943%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-07 08:54
Pinnacle🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.89%E -1.01%K -2.15%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.89%E -1.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-07 08:30
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.94%E -1.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-07 08:29
William Hill🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 20:30
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 08:25
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 08:24
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 15:10
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-07 08:43
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.02%E -2.76%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.28%E -3.21%K -6.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:29
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:35
BetRivers🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.55%E -3.06%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.80%E -2.95%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:35
Coolbet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 20:20
BetMGM🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 21:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-06 20:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-07 08:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-06 20:15
ReBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-07 08:20
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-07 08:19
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.63%E -4.31%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-07 08:25
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.20%E -5.29%K -12.43%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-07 08:49
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 15:10
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.76%E -6.29%K -15.16%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-07 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -10.76%E -6.29%K -15.16%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-07 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。