Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 52.87%1.89fair odd
EV +5.73%
Edge +2.87%
Kelly +5.73%
Growth +0.329%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%52.39%52.90%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.792.0059.88%55.85%55.87%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 47.13%2.12fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.928%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.61%47.10%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.982.002.1058.48%50.58%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 52.87%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 47.13%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +5.73%E +2.87%K +5.73%G +0.329%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -19.40%E -11.35%K -27.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 07:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 07:09
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 06:50
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 07:14
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 07:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 07:39
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.91%E -1.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 07:14
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 07:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:24
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 07:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 07:24
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 07:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 07:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.50%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.96%EV -11.71%E -7.01%K -17.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.04%EV -11.39%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.