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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 52.87%1.89公平赔率
EV +5.73%
优势 +2.87%
Kelly +5.73%
增长率 +0.329%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
46.09%52.39%52.90%54.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.791.792.0059.88%55.85%55.87%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 47.13%2.12公平赔率
EV -1.02%
优势 -0.486%
Kelly -0.928%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.74%47.61%47.10%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.982.002.1058.48%50.58%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：52.87%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：47.13%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.89。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.00，对应+5.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV +5.73%E +2.87%K +5.73%G +0.329%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -19.40%E -11.35%K -27.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 07:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 07:09
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.43%E -1.18%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 06:50
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 07:14
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 07:39
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 07:39
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.91%E -1.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 07:14
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 07:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:24
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.02%E -0.486%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 07:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 07:24
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 07:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 07:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.50%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.96%EV -11.71%E -7.01%K -17.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.04%EV -11.39%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 07:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。