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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.847%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.86%53.17%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.781.9159.88%56.26%56.18%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.14%46.83%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.992.002.1152.91%50.24%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 53.20%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 46.80%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.62%E +0.847%K +1.78%G +0.029% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.62%E -5.56%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.022%E +0.012%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.022%E +0.012%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -1.57%E -0.851%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.94%E -2.95%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.26%E -0.597%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.34%E -3.71%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.77%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.28%E -4.22%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.66%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.49%E -4.94%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.02%E -5.28%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -10.09%E -5.97%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.09%EV -11.15%E -6.68%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -11.55%E -6.11%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 08:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.