默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-08 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

53%

47%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 53.20%1.88公平赔率

EV +1.62%

优势 +0.847%

Kelly +1.78%

增长率 +0.029%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%52.86%53.17%54.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.671.781.781.9159.88%56.26%56.18%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 46.80%2.14公平赔率

EV -1.26%

优势 -0.597%

Kelly -1.13%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.11

博彩公司预测分布

45.91%47.14%46.83%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.891.992.002.1152.91%50.24%50.00%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：53.20%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：46.80%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.88。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.91，对应+1.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.62%E +0.847%K +1.78%G +0.029%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.62%E -5.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-08 08:50
NordicBet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.022%E +0.012%K +0.026%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-08 08:45
Betsson🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +0.022%E +0.012%K +0.026%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-08 08:45
1xBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -1.57%E -0.851%K -1.85%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.94%E -2.95%K -5.88%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-08 08:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.26%E -0.597%K -1.13%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-08 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 08:35
BetMGM🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.34%E -3.71%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:55
BetRivers🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:55
Caesars🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.23%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 08:45
BetUS🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.77%E -2.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.28%E -4.22%K -8.62%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-08 08:55
William Hill🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.66%E -1.28%K -2.47%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 08:55
Coolbet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 08:55
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-08 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-08 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 08:40
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.89%E -3.94%K -9.19%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-08 08:35
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:34
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-08 08:40
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.75%E -4.49%K -9.21%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-08 08:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 08:40
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.49%E -4.94%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-08 08:45
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.02%E -5.28%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.41%E -3.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-08 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -10.09%E -5.97%K -14.62%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-08 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.09%EV -11.15%E -6.68%K -16.64%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -11.55%E -6.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-08 08:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。