Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 42.09%2.38fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.97%42.11%43.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.66%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 57.91%1.73fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.48%58.03%57.89%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.46%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 42.09%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 57.91%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.09%E -0.463%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 07:55
William Hill🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.51%E -0.645%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -1.51%E -0.645%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 07:55
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 07:55
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 08:00
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:15
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:01
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:01
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 07:54
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 08:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 07:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 07:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 14:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:25
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 05:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 07:54
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 08:15
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 08:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.51%E -4.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.51%E -4.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.