默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-05-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 42.09%2.38公平赔率

EV -1.09%

优势 -0.463%

Kelly -0.805%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布

40.26%41.97%42.11%43.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.66%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 57.91%1.73公平赔率

EV -2.71%

优势 -1.61%

Kelly -3.99%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布

56.48%58.03%57.89%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.46%61.73%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：42.09%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：57.91%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.38。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.35，期望值为-1.09%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.09%E -0.463%K -0.805%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-14 07:55
William Hill🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.51%E -0.645%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
FanDuel🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -1.51%E -0.645%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-14 07:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-05-14 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-14 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-14 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-14 07:55
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-05-14 08:25
Coolbet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-14 07:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-14 08:00
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-14 08:15
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-14 08:01
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-14 08:01
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-14 07:54
ReBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-14 08:05
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-14 07:55
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-14 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-14 07:54
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-13 14:39
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-13 23:40
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:25
Unibet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:25
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:25
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:25
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-14 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-14 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-14 05:20
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-14 07:54
Everygame🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-14 08:15
BetUS🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.24%E -3.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-14 08:55
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.51%E -4.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-13 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.51%E -4.42%K -8.27%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-05-14 08:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。