The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 36.85%2.71fair odd
EV -0.877%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.92%36.91%36.75%40.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.542.552.6942.37%39.37%39.22%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 63.15%1.58fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.65%63.09%63.25%64.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.6170.42%66.69%66.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -12.30%E -5.17%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV +1.67%E +1.04%K +2.74%G +0.046%4.1%2026-07-08 08:25
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.75%E -1.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 07:40
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 08:55
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 08:55
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 08:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -12.67%E -5.35%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 07:45
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.877%E -0.326%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 08:45
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 08:50
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 08:50
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.61%E -0.605%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 08:54
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 08:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:55
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:55
MyBookie.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 08:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:45
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:45
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:50
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:50
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:49
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.90%E -3.96%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 08:55
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.72%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 08:55
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 08:45
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 08:50
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 08:55
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 08:50
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 08:49
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 08:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 08:50
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 08:54
Betclic (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 37.57%EV -13.04%E -5.52%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.43%EV -10.32%E -7.27%K -24.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-08 08:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.