La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Predicción 36.85%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.877%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.519%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.92%36.91%36.75%40.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.362.542.552.6942.37%39.37%39.22%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visitante)
Predicción 63.15%1.58momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +2.74%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.65%63.09%63.25%64.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.6170.42%66.69%66.67%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -12.30%E -5.17%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV +1.67%E +1.04%K +2.74%G +0.046% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 08:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.75%E -1.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 07:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -12.67%E -5.35%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 07:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -0.877%E -0.326%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-08 08:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| BetUS | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.61%E -0.605%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 08:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:45 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:45 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.90%E -3.96%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.72%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| ReBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-08 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-08 08:55 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-08 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-08 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.57%EV -13.04%E -5.52%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.43%EV -10.32%E -7.27%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-08 08:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.