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Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 42.10%2.38fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.65%41.99%42.23%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.202.3847.62%44.72%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 57.90%1.73fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.01%57.77%59.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.56%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 42.10%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 57.90%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.375. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.380, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.208%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.208%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.208%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.208%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.89%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 08:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 21:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 08:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.89%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 21:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 14:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 14:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 22:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.58%E -5.51%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.52%E -5.40%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 08:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.