默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-05-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

42%

58%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 42.10%2.38公平赔率

EV +0.208%

优势 +0.087%

Kelly +0.151%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布

40.65%41.99%42.23%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.242.202.3847.62%44.72%45.45%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 57.90%1.73公平赔率

EV -3.31%

优势 -1.98%

Kelly -4.95%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

56.85%58.01%57.77%59.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.621.621.6763.69%61.56%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：42.10%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：57.90%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.375。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.380，对应+0.208%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.208%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-12 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.208%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.94%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-12 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +0.208%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.94%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-12 08:49
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.89%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-12 08:24
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-11 21:39
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-12 08:49
Bovada🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-12 08:34
William Hill🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.89%E -2.35%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-11 13:59
FanDuel🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-11 21:45
BetUS🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.84%E -2.14%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-12 08:49
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-11 13:54
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-11 13:54
BetMGM🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-11 22:19
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-11 21:45
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-11 14:14
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-11 21:44
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-11 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-11 21:40
ReBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:55
Unibet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:54
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-12 08:55
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-11 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-11 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-11 14:13
Everygame🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-11 21:49
Coral🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.37%E -3.35%K -6.14%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-11 22:18
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -5.63%E -3.45%K -8.94%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-12 04:05
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.24%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.58%E -5.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.52%E -5.40%K -14.70%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-05-12 08:48

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。