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Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV +3.84%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%27.73%27.74%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.393.403.7432.79%29.52%29.41%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 72.23%1.38fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -11.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.27%72.26%74.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3380.65%76.74%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 27.77%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 72.23%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +3.84%E +1.03%K +1.40%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +3.84%E +1.03%K +1.40%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 08:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV +2.18%E +0.592%K +0.813%G +0.018% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.75%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +1.35%E +0.369%K +0.508%G +0.007% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 08:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +0.235%E +0.065%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.23%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.042%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.042%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.042%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.82%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 08:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.82%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 08:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.82%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 08:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 08:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 08:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 08:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 08:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-24 21:53 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-25 08:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 11:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -8.99%E -7.13%K -34.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 08:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-24 11:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -15.31%E -5.02%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.10%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-25 08:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.