默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-25 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

28%

72%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 27.77%3.60公平赔率

EV +3.84%

优势 +1.03%

Kelly +1.40%

增长率 +0.054%

假设最高赔率为 3.74

博彩公司预测分布

25.65%27.73%27.74%30.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.053.393.403.7432.79%29.52%29.41%26.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 72.23%1.38公平赔率

EV -3.93%

优势 -2.95%

Kelly -11.91%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布

69.98%72.27%72.26%74.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.241.301.301.3380.65%76.74%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：27.77%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：72.23%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.60。当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.74，对应+3.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +3.84%E +1.03%K +1.40%G +0.054%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-25 08:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +3.84%E +1.03%K +1.40%G +0.054%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-25 08:54
1xBet🎯	3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV +2.18%E +0.592%K +0.813%G +0.018%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.75%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.33%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-25 08:30
FanDuel🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +1.35%E +0.369%K +0.508%G +0.007%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-25 08:34
Pinnacle🎯	3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +0.235%E +0.065%K +0.090%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.23%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-25 08:50
Betsson🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.042%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-25 08:34
NordicBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.042%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-25 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.042%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-25 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.82%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-25 08:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.82%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-25 08:24
Bovada🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.82%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-25 08:24
DraftKings🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-25 08:50
ReBet🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-25 08:39
Coolbet🎯	3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.04%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-25 08:34
BetMGM🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.33%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-24 21:54
BoyleSports🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-25 08:24
theScore Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.60%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-25 08:34
BetUS🎯	3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-25 08:54
Coral🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.37%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-24 21:53
PMU (FR)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-25 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-25 08:49
Unibet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-25 08:49
BetRivers🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-25 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-25 08:50
Bally Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-25 08:49
Betway🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-25 08:24
888sport🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-24 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-24 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-24 11:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.15%E -3.48%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 71.75%EV -8.99%E -7.13%K -34.56%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-25 08:50
Fanatics🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-25 08:54
Caesars🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-24 11:58
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -15.31%E -5.02%K -7.47%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 71.10%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-08-25 08:38

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。