The School of Odds
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Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 35.43%2.82fair odd
EV +0.620%
Edge +0.218%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%35.60%35.44%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.8441.67%37.85%37.74%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 64.57%1.55fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%64.40%64.56%65.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.461.461.5371.94%68.52%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 35.43%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 64.57%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.620%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV +0.620%E +0.218%K +0.337%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 08:44
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.797%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.86%E -0.672%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.86%E -0.672%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 08:29
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -1.86%E -0.672%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 08:54
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.21%E -0.802%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 08:34
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.57%E -0.934%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.66%E -5.36%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 08:34
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -3.28%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 08:44
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 08:34
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 08:29
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.40%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 08:44
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:34
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 08:34
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.66%E -5.36%K -17.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 08:34
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 08:34
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 08:44
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 08:39
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.14%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 21:49
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-26 08:50
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.80%EV -10.25%E -7.37%K -26.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-26 08:34
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.97%E -6.24%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.21%E -0.789%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 08:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.