默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

35%

65%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 35.43%2.82公平赔率

EV +0.620%

优势 +0.218%

Kelly +0.337%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.84

博彩公司预测分布

34.11%35.60%35.44%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.402.642.652.8441.67%37.85%37.74%35.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 64.57%1.55公平赔率

EV -1.21%

优势 -0.789%

Kelly -2.28%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布

61.07%64.40%64.56%65.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.391.461.461.5371.94%68.52%68.49%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：35.43%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：64.57%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.82。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.84，对应+0.620%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV +0.620%E +0.218%K +0.337%G +0.002%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -5.08%E -3.46%K -10.81%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-26 08:44
DraftKings🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.797%E -0.285%K -0.443%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-26 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.86%E -0.672%K -1.05%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.73%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-26 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.86%E -0.672%K -1.05%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.73%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-26 08:29
BetUS🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -1.86%E -0.672%K -1.05%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.73%E -3.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-26 08:54
FanDuel🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.21%E -0.802%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-26 08:34
Bovada🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.57%E -0.934%K -1.47%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.66%E -5.36%K -17.82%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-26 08:34
1xBet🎯	2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -3.28%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -3.79%E -2.54%K -7.73%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-26 08:44
Betsson🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
NordicBet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-26 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.34%E -1.61%K -2.55%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.00%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-26 08:29
Coolbet🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.40%E -2.02%K -3.24%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-26 08:44
theScore Bet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-26 08:34
ReBet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-26 08:34
Betway🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.11%E -2.31%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.66%E -5.36%K -17.82%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-26 08:34
BoyleSports🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:34
888sport🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.17%E -2.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.02%E -4.87%K -15.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-26 08:44
BetRivers🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
Unibet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
Bally Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.88%E -3.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-26 08:39
BetMGM🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.14%E -2.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-25 21:49
Fanatics🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.37%E -4.40%K -14.16%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-26 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.43%E -4.57%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.60%E -6.86%K -24.00%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-08-26 08:50
Coral🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.24%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-25 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -13.20%E -5.39%K -9.10%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 63.80%EV -10.25%E -7.37%K -26.27%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-26 08:34
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.97%E -6.24%K -10.69%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.21%E -0.789%K -2.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-26 08:16

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。