Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.24
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Carolina Catamounts (Local): 57.35%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 42.65%. For Western Carolina Catamounts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -4.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.37%E -3.26%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.37%E -3.26%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.52%E -4.00%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 11:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.30%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 13:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 14:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82% | 8.6% | 2026-05-22 15:20 |