The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 61.44%1.63fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.31%61.69%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.561.6065.36%63.85%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 38.56%2.59fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%38.69%38.31%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.472.5542.55%40.79%40.49%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 61.44%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 38.56%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.69%E -1.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.69%E -1.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 15:50
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.31%E -2.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 11:10
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 13:09
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -2.92%E -1.85%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.45%E -0.970%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.15%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:43
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 14:00
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.68%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.07%E -0.814%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 13:50
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.45%E -0.970%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:29
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:09
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-03-15 17:00
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-03-15 15:30
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-15 16:55