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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间： 2026-03-15 17:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 61.44%1.63公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -2.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
59.49%61.31%61.69%62.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.571.561.6065.36%63.85%64.10%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 38.56%2.59公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -0.660%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.65%38.69%38.31%40.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.452.472.5542.55%40.79%40.49%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Philadelphia Phillies (主队)：61.44%；Atlanta Braves (客队)：38.56%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.59。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-1.68%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.69%E -1.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.69%E -1.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 15:50
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.31%E -2.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 11:10
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 13:09
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -2.92%E -1.85%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.45%E -0.970%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.15%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:43
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 14:00
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.68%E -0.660%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.07%E -0.814%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 13:50
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.45%E -0.970%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:29
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:09
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.47%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-03-15 17:00
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-03-15 15:30
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%2.8%2026-03-15 16:55