The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 51.58%1.94fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +3.15%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%51.20%51.57%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.852.0056.50%54.02%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 48.42%2.07fair odd
EV +0.235%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.219%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%48.80%48.43%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.962.0754.64%51.17%51.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 51.58%; New York Yankees (Visit): 48.42%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.15%E +1.58%K +3.15%G +0.100%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.39%E -6.22%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.15%E +1.58%K +3.15%G +0.100%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.39%E -6.22%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:59
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.576%E +0.295%K +0.606%G +0.003%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.45%E -5.05%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 19:00
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.49%E -0.779%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.39%E -6.22%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 18:49
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 17:43
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.734%E -0.358%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.235%E +0.113%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-23 12:14
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.235%E +0.113%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-23 12:14
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 18:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-03-23 19:00
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%2.9%2026-03-23 18:59
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-03-23 18:54