默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v New York Yankees

开赛时间: 2026-03-23 19:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 51.58%1.94公平赔率
EV +3.15%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +3.15%
增长率 +0.100%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.78%51.20%51.57%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.851.852.0056.50%54.02%54.05%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 48.42%2.07公平赔率
EV +0.235%
优势 +0.113%
Kelly +0.219%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.07

博彩公司预测分布
46.09%48.80%48.43%52.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.951.962.0754.64%51.17%51.02%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):51.58%;New York Yankees (客队):48.42%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.94。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.00,对应+3.15%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.15%E +1.58%K +3.15%G +0.100%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.39%E -6.22%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.15%E +1.58%K +3.15%G +0.100%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.39%E -6.22%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:59
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.576%E +0.295%K +0.606%G +0.003%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.45%E -5.05%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 19:00
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.49%E -0.779%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.39%E -6.22%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.03%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.61%E -2.34%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 18:49
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.55%E -1.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.12%E -2.08%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.58%E -2.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.09%E -2.60%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.61%E -3.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 17:43
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.734%E -0.358%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.16%E -3.98%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.235%E +0.113%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-23 12:14
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.235%E +0.113%K +0.219%G +0.001%4.8%2026-03-23 12:14
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 18:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.71%E -4.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.58%E -2.86%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-23 18:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-03-23 19:00
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%2.9%2026-03-23 18:59
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-03-23 18:54