Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.06
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 47.99%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 52.01%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.656%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.15%E -0.556%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -2.22%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.15%E -0.556%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.90%E -3.85%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.90%E -3.85%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.656%E -0.343%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.656%E -0.343%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-29 10:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 14:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 07:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.51%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.30%E -2.34%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.51%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.22%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -11.06%E -6.47%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 14:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-29 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.656%E -0.343%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.82%E -4.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 16:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.82%E -4.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 17:05 |
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