默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 17:06 UTC

最终结果: Washington Nationals 2–5 Toronto Blue Jays

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 47.99%2.08公平赔率
EV -1.15%
优势 -0.556%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
46.34%48.13%47.98%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.002.002.0652.63%50.03%50.00%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toronto Blue Jays (客队)

预测 52.01%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.656%
优势 -0.343%
Kelly -0.720%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.87%52.02%53.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.821.831.9158.48%54.83%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Nationals (主队):47.99%;Toronto Blue Jays (客队):52.01%。 对于“Toronto Blue Jays (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.91,期望值为-0.656%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.15%E -0.556%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -2.22%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-29 17:00
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.15%E -0.556%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 17:05
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.90%E -3.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.90%E -3.85%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:00
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:00
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:00
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-29 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 16:30
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.656%E -0.343%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 14:04
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 17:00
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.656%E -0.343%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 13:05
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 11:10
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 16:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 16:20
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 14:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 07:40
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 07:54
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 00:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:40
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.51%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.30%E -2.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.51%E -2.26%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.22%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -11.06%E -6.47%K -15.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 15:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.42%E -3.29%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.38%E -3.83%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.656%E -0.343%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.34%E -4.37%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.82%E -4.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 16:58
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.82%E -4.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-29 17:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-29 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-29 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-29 17:05
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-29 16:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-29 15:50
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-29 17:05
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-07-29 17:05
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-07-29 17:00
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-07-29 17:05
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-07-29 17:05