A Escola das Odds

Washington Nationals v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-06-13 00:56 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–10 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 43.29%2.31odd justa
EV +0.855%
Vantagem +0.367%
Kelly +0.643%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%43.52%43.15%45.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.222.232.3350.00%45.03%44.84%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 56.71%1.76odd justa
EV -0.750%
Vantagem -0.428%
Kelly -1.000%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.64%56.48%56.85%58.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.58%59.88%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.855%E +0.367%K +0.643%G +0.006%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 22:00
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:09
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 23:50
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.876%E -0.383%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 23:30
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:10
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 22:10
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 22:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 12:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:49
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:59
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 23:32
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:09
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:09
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 20:40
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 00:29
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 20:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 13:28
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 19:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 07:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 19:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:59
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.99%E -4.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 21:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.12%E -5.01%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.37%E -3.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.750%E -0.428%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 23:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.43%E -6.71%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-06-13 00:39
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-06-13 00:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 00:00
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-13 00:50
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-06-13 00:00