L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 00:56 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 2–10 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 43.29%2.31cote équitable
EV +0.855%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.643%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%43.52%43.15%45.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.232.3350.00%45.03%44.84%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.71%1.76cote équitable
EV -0.750%
Avantage -0.428%
Kelly -1.000%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.64%56.48%56.85%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.58%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.855%E +0.367%K +0.643%G +0.006%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 22:00
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:09
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 23:50
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.876%E -0.383%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 23:30
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:10
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 22:10
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 22:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 12:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:49
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:59
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 23:32
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:09
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 21:09
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 20:40
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 00:29
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 20:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 13:28
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 19:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 07:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 19:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 06:59
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.99%E -4.26%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 21:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.12%E -5.01%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.37%E -3.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.750%E -0.428%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 23:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 23:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.43%E -6.71%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-12 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-06-13 00:39
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-06-13 00:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 00:00
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-06-13 00:50
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-06-13 00:00