La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Washington Nationals v Seattle Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 43.29%2.31momio equitativo
EV +0.855%
Ventaja +0.367%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.77%43.52%43.15%45.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.232.3350.00%45.03%44.84%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 56.71%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.750%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -1.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.64%56.48%56.85%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.58%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.855%E +0.367%K +0.643%G +0.006% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-12 23:09 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.443%E -0.193%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 23:50 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.876%E -0.383%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-12 23:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-12 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-12 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.574%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-12 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-12 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-12 12:50 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:59 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.04%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 23:32 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 21:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 21:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 20:40 |
| Caesars | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 00:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 20:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 13:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.46%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 19:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 07:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-11 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 06:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.99%E -4.26%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.12%E -5.01%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.37%E -3.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.750%E -0.428%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -13.43%E -6.71%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -5.85%E -3.53%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-12 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 00:39 |
| ProphetX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-06-13 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-06-13 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-06-13 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-06-13 00:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 00:00 |