Language:English
Washington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 56.49%1.77fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.59%56.39%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.13%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV +0.074%
Edge +0.032%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.41%43.61%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.58%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 56.49%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 43.51%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.298. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.074%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.074%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.074%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.361%E -0.158%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.361%E -0.158%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.738%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.71%E -0.982%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.36%E -4.49%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.14%E -0.653%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 16:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.71%E -2.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 15:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 05:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.