The School of Odds

Washington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-07-05 17:01 — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: Washington Nationals (Local)

1.6859.52%Min
1.7457.63%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.7856.18%Max
53.05%1.885Min
55.75%1.794Max
54.94%1.820Mean
55.06%1.816Median
55.06%1.816IQM
54.98%1.819Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 55.06%

EV -2.00%Edge -1.12%Kelly -2.56%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

2.0050.00%Min
2.1346.90%Mean
2.1446.73%Median
2.2045.45%Max
44.25%2.260Min
46.95%2.130Max
45.06%2.219Mean
44.94%2.225Median
44.94%2.225IQM
45.02%2.221Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 44.94%

EV -1.12%Edge -0.511%Kelly -0.937%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWashington Nationals (Local) ▼Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.78I 56.18% NM 55.05%EV -2.00% E -1.12% K -2.56% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.95%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 12:24
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18% NM 55.05%EV -2.00% E -1.12% K -2.56% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.95%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 13:45
GTbets1.77I 56.50% NM 55.42%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 44.58%EV -1.12% E -0.511% K -0.937% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 13:25
Everygame1.77I 56.50% NM 55.42%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 44.58%EV -1.12% E -0.511% K -0.937% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 11:00
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:29
BetUS1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 13:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:09
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -2.55% E -1.44% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -10.11% E -5.06% K -10.11% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 13:30
BetAnything1.76I 56.82% NM 55.33%EV -3.10% E -1.76% K -4.08% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.67%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 13:30
FanDuel1.75I 57.14% NM 55.24%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.76%EV -2.92% E -1.35% K -2.52% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 23:50
TAB1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 11:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 14:05
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.35% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 10:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 10:05
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -3.65% E -2.09% K -4.87% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:00
Betway1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 10:30
ReBet1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 11:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 11:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 10:29
Bovada1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.35% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 14:14
DraftKings1.74I 57.47% NM 55.04%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.96%EV -4.27% E -2.00% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 10:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -4.20% E -2.41% K -5.68% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:54
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80% NM 55.75%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 44.25%EV -2.02% E -0.928% K -1.71% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 13:25
Coral1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 13:25
SportsBet1.73I 57.80% NM 55.18%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.82%EV -4.27% E -2.00% K -3.78% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:05
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.72% E -2.23% K -4.21% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 10:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.72% E -2.23% K -4.21% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 11:45
Coolbet1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.72% E -2.23% K -4.21% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 11:54
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80% NM 54.95%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.11I 47.39% NM 45.05%EV -5.17% E -2.45% K -4.66% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 10:30
888sport1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:30
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 09:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.75% E -2.75% K -6.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 05:00
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.67%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.33%EV -2.92% E -1.35% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.67%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.33%EV -2.92% E -1.35% K -2.52% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 13:19
Unibet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:20
Casumo1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:20
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:25
Neds1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 13:25
Betsson1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -4.72% E -2.23% K -4.21% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:14
NordicBet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -4.72% E -2.23% K -4.21% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -4.72% E -2.23% K -4.21% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 10:29
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14% NM 54.86%EV -5.30% E -3.08% K -7.36% G +0.000%2.09I 47.85% NM 45.14%EV -6.07% E -2.90% K -5.57% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 10:35
BetMGM1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.85% E -3.42% K -8.24% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.37% E -1.57% K -2.93% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 13:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -5.85% E -3.42% K -8.24% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -5.85% E -3.42% K -8.24% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -5.85% E -3.42% K -8.24% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:19
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -5.85% E -3.42% K -8.24% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.35% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -6.40% E -3.77% K -9.15% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.33%EV -7.87% E -3.84% K -7.49% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 10:30
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52% NM 55.56%EV -7.50% E -4.47% K -11.04% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.44%EV -5.62% E -2.68% K -5.11% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerWashington Nationals (Local)Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%2.20I 45.45%0.1%2026-07-05 14:14
Novig1.80I 55.56%2.22I 45.05%0.6%2026-07-05 12:30
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%2.21I 45.25%0.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%2.17I 46.08%1.0%2026-07-05 12:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%2.18I 45.87%1.4%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%2.18I 45.87%1.4%2026-07-05 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%2.18I 45.87%1.4%2026-07-05 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%2.18I 45.87%1.4%2026-07-05 14:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%2.17I 46.08%1.9%2026-07-05 13:35
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%2.18I 45.87%2.4%2026-07-05 14:15