语言:简体中文
Washington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Washington Nationals (主队)
预测 56.49%1.77公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.653%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
54.83%56.59%56.39%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.13%58.82%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)
预测 43.51%2.30公平赔率
EV +0.074%
优势 +0.032%
Kelly +0.057%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
41.86%43.41%43.61%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.58%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Washington Nationals (主队)：56.49%；Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)：43.51%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.298。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.300，对应+0.074%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.074%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.074%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.361%E -0.158%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.361%E -0.158%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.738%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.71%E -0.982%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.36%E -4.49%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.54%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.14%E -0.653%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 16:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.71%E -2.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 15:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 05:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 16:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 17:00 |