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Washington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Washington Nationals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.65%2.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.880%
Преимущество -0.370%
Kelly -0.638%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.36%41.62%41.73%42.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.312.302.3845.45%43.36%43.48%42.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)
Прогноз 58.35%1.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.38%
Преимущество -0.818%
Kelly -2.00%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.69
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.59%58.38%58.27%59.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.631.631.6963.69%61.29%61.35%59.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 41.65%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости): 58.35%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.40. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.38, математическое ожидание — -0.880%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.880%E -0.370%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.30%E -0.547%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.71%E -0.726%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.38%E -0.818%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 13:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.88%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -6.71%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 15:03 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |