La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Washington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 41.65%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.880%
Ventaja -0.370%
Kelly -0.638%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.36%41.62%41.73%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.3845.45%43.36%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 58.35%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.818%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%58.38%58.27%59.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6963.69%61.29%61.35%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.880%E -0.370%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.30%E -0.547%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| GTbets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.71%E -0.726%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 14:20 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| ReBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Caesars | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Fliff | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.38%E -0.818%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 13:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:20 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:26 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 12:39 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betsson | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 13:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.88%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -6.71%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Novig | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 15:03 |
| Polymarket | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 15:04 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 15:05 |