مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-07-04 15:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 1–7 Pittsburgh Pirates

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.65%2.40السعر العادل
EV -0.880%
الأفضلية -0.370%
Kelly -0.638%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.36%41.62%41.73%42.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.312.302.3845.45%43.36%43.48%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.35%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.38%
الأفضلية -0.818%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.59%58.38%58.27%59.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.631.631.6963.69%61.29%61.35%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.880%E -0.370%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.30%E -0.547%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:55
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.71%E -0.726%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 15:05
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 15:04
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 14:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 14:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 13:35
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:55
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:55
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:55
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:55
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.13%E -0.906%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 14:55
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 15:05
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 13:45
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.55%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:59
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.38%E -0.818%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 14:45
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 15:04
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:40
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:15
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 13:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:59
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 13:09
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:40
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:40
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 12:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:49
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:26
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:40
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 15:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 12:39
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 15:05
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 15:05
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 15:05
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 13:50
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.46%E -2.41%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 13:49
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.88%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 15:04
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:05
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:04
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 14:25
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 14:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -6.71%E -3.00%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:00
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-07-04 15:05
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-04 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-07-04 15:05
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-07-04 15:03
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-04 13:40
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-04 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-07-04 15:05
BetOpenly2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%1.8%2026-07-04 15:04
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-04 14:55
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-07-04 15:05