Language:English
Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.638%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%38.26%38.42%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.512.502.6542.19%39.81%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 61.63%1.62fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.89%61.74%61.58%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.76%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 38.37%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 61.63%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.69%E +0.638%K +1.02%G +0.017% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.228%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.228%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.38%E -0.537%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-25 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.33%E -4.16%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.33%E -4.16%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.56%E -5.04%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-25 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.40%E -0.874%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-25 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.91%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.40%E -0.874%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-25 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.91%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-25 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.30%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.68%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 20:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 19:57 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.56%E -5.04%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -7.56%E -5.04%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -2.63%E -1.67%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.75%E -2.78%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-25 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.05%E -3.82%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.33%E -4.16%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-25 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 1.2% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80% | 3.1% | 2026-06-25 22:40 |