مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-06-25 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 5–10 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.37%2.61السعر العادل
EV +1.69%
الأفضلية +0.638%
Kelly +1.02%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.30%38.26%38.42%39.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.372.512.502.6542.19%39.81%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 61.63%1.62السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.874%
Kelly -2.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.89%61.74%61.58%63.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.76%64.94%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +1.69%E +0.638%K +1.02%G +0.017%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 21:20
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.228%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.228%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Everygame2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.38%E -0.537%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-25 22:30
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 20:20
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 22:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.33%E -4.16%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.33%E -4.16%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 22:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.94%E -4.60%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.15%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.56%E -5.04%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-25 20:09
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.40%E -0.874%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-25 22:10
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 20:20
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 20:20
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.53%E -0.996%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-25 22:40
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.91%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.40%E -0.874%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-25 22:29
BetAnything2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -2.91%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-25 22:39
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.30%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 20:00
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.68%E -1.47%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 20:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 20:49
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 20:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 21:09
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 20:00
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 19:57
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 20:20
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 20:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 22:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 22:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 22:09
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 21:50
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 20:20
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 22:09
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 22:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 21:49
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 20:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.07%E -1.63%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.56%E -5.04%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 20:20
DraftKings2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 20:00
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -4.83%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -7.56%E -5.04%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 22:40
MyBookie.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -2.63%E -1.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 22:39
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.25%E -2.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 20:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.48%E -2.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 20:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 22:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 20:10
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 19:49
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.75%E -2.78%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.86%E -2.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.10%E -3.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 20:00
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -9.05%E -3.82%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.33%E -4.16%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 22:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-25 22:40
ProphetX2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-25 22:40
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-25 22:30
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-25 22:30
BetOpenly2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-06-25 22:40
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%3.1%2026-06-25 22:40