Language:English
Washington Nationals v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 49.48%2.02fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.696%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%49.41%49.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.952.0554.95%51.43%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 50.52%1.98fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.59%50.52%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.871.871.9558.14%53.54%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 49.48%; New York Mets (Visit): 50.52%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +1.43%E +0.696%K +1.36%G +0.019% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV +1.43%E +0.696%K +1.36%G +0.019% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -9.56%E -5.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.058%E -0.029%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.08%E -6.29%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.05%E -0.524%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.05%E -0.524%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.54%E -0.775%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.54%E -0.775%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.54%E -0.775%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.54%E -0.775%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -1.54%E -0.775%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -8.05%E -4.42%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.04%E -1.03%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-27 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.48%E -0.758%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.53%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.49%E -1.29%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-27 14:13 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.03%E -1.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -13.10%E -7.62%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 18:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.02%E -2.07%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.99%E -1.56%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.51%E -2.39%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.51%E -2.34%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.54%E -4.12%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.83%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 05:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.52%E -2.95%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.50%E -2.88%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.11%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.00%E -3.16%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.02%E -2.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.98%E -3.72%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.47%E -4.58%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.53%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.95%E -5.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.06%E -5.03%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 18:05 |