Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

2026-09-27 17:05 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 49.91%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%49.79%49.94%51.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.921.911.9755.25%52.21%52.36%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.09%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.21%50.06%51.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.901.9555.56%52.77%52.63%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Washington Nationals (Local) : 49.91% ; New York Mets (Visiteur) : 50.09%. Pour Washington Nationals (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.00. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.97, pour une espérance de -1.68% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.68%E -0.853%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-27 03:15
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.18%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 02:10
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 20:05
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.68%E -1.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 01:50
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.18%E -1.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:15
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:45
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 00:43
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:15
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 02:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 20:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 23:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 20:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 20:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:14
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.26%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 02:15
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 20:09
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 03:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.67%E -2.45%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:55
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 02:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 23:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 02:18
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 02:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.57%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 02:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.67%E -4.15%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -9.33%E -5.16%K -11.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-27 00:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.17%E -4.44%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -7.83%E -4.26%K -9.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -9.67%E -5.34%K -11.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-27 02:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-27 02:55
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-09-27 03:10
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-27 02:30
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-26 22:20
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-09-27 03:15
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-09-27 02:20