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Washington Nationals v New York Mets

2026-09-26 20:05 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 45.02%2.22fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.08%45.05%45.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.122.122.1850.25%47.23%47.17%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.20%54.92%54.95%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.79%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Nationals (Local): 45.02%; New York Mets (Visit): 54.98%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -1.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.85%E -0.850%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.75%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 18:20
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.04%E -0.578%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 20:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 19:50
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 00:35
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:05
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:05
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.04%E -0.578%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.04%E -0.578%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 18:20
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 20:43
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 21:24
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 18:25
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 21:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 21:25
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.00%E -2.37%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 22:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 18:25
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.16%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 21:25
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 21:24
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 00:34
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 21:25
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 21:27
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.74%E -5.26%K -13.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.96%E -4.98%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-25 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.41%E -5.23%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-25 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-26 00:00
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 00:35
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-09-26 00:35
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%10.2%2026-09-25 21:30
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%10.4%2026-09-26 00:34