La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-05-18 22:46 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 7–16 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 46.89%2.13quota equa
EV -0.592%
Vantaggio -0.279%
Kelly -0.528%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.31%46.81%46.85%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.11%1.88quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.654%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.19%53.15%54.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.791.791.8658.48%55.96%55.87%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.592%E -0.279%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.503%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 22:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 16:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 21:50
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.956%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 21:35
Everygame2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 20:30
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.22%E -0.654%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 21:45
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:05
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.22%E -0.654%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:44
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:24
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 16:25
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:34
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:34
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 19:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 21:25
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 22:45
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:20
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:45
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 21:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 19:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 19:33
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.75%E -2.86%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 21:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 20:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.16%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.16%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-18 22:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-18 21:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-18 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-05-18 22:45
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-05-18 22:45
BetOpenly2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%5.5%2026-05-18 22:44