مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

البداية: 2026-05-18 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 7–16 New York Mets

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.89%2.13السعر العادل
EV -0.592%
الأفضلية -0.279%
Kelly -0.528%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.31%46.81%46.85%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Mets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.11%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.22%
الأفضلية -0.654%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.19%53.15%54.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.791.791.8658.48%55.96%55.87%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.592%E -0.279%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.503%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 22:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 16:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 21:50
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.956%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 21:35
Everygame2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 20:30
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.22%E -0.654%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 21:45
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:05
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.22%E -0.654%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:44
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:24
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 16:25
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:34
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:34
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 19:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 21:25
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 22:45
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:20
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:45
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 21:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 19:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 19:33
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.75%E -2.86%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 21:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 20:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.16%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.16%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-18 22:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-18 21:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-18 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-05-18 22:45
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-05-18 22:45
BetOpenly2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%5.5%2026-05-18 22:44