L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 22:46 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 7–16 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 46.89%2.13cote équitable
EV -0.592%
Avantage -0.279%
Kelly -0.528%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%46.81%46.85%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.02%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.11%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.654%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.19%53.15%54.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.791.791.8658.48%55.96%55.87%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.592%E -0.279%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.06%E -0.503%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.34%E -1.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 22:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 16:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.53%E -0.728%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 21:50
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.00%E -0.956%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 21:35
Everygame2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 20:30
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.22%E -0.654%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 21:45
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 21:05
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.22%E -0.654%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 22:44
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.75%E -0.945%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-18 22:24
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 21:04
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 16:25
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:34
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 19:34
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 19:45
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.00%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 21:25
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 22:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 22:45
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 22:20
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 22:45
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.81%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 21:19
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 19:35
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 19:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 19:33
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.28%E -2.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.75%E -2.86%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 21:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 22:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 20:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.59%E -4.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 22:45
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.16%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.16%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -7.63%E -3.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -9.18%E -5.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 22:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-18 22:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-18 21:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-18 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-05-18 22:45
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-05-18 22:45
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-05-18 22:45
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-05-18 22:45
BetOpenly2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%5.5%2026-05-18 22:44