Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

2026-09-25 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.03%44.97%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.112.102.1750.25%47.37%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.855%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%54.97%55.03%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.80%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Nationals (Local): 44.99%; New York Mets (Visit): 55.01%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -1.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.37%E -1.09%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.53%E -0.855%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-24 21:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 20:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 21:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.27%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.72%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 20:55
Caesars🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.72%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 21:04
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.17%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 21:24
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.17%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 20:55
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:00
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 22:33
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:10
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 01:14
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:58
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:34
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 21:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 01:15
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.97%E -2.86%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.68%E -5.23%K -13.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-24 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.47%E -5.26%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-24 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-25 01:05
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-25 02:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-25 00:50
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%6.7%2026-09-25 01:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%10.2%2026-09-24 20:55