默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v New York Mets

2026-09-25 22:46 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 44.96%2.22公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.912%
Kelly -1.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
44.30%44.97%44.96%45.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.992.112.122.1850.25%47.32%47.17%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Mets (客队)

预测 55.04%1.82公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -2.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
54.26%55.03%55.04%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.86%57.80%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Washington Nationals (主队):44.96%;New York Mets (客队):55.04%。 对于“Washington Nationals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.22。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.18,期望值为-1.99%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.99%E -0.912%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.03%E -1.14%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 02:15
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 20:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 21:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 00:34
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 20:55
Caesars🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 02:40
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 02:40
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 21:24
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 20:55
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 21:00
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 22:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 02:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 02:40
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 02:40
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 02:40
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 02:40
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:10
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.13%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 02:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.58%E -1.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.68%E -2.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 01:14
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.23%E -2.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 02:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:58
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 22:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.78%E -2.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:34
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 21:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 01:15
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.58%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.88%E -3.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 02:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.03%E -2.89%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.33%E -3.10%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 20:54
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.83%E -3.82%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.08%E -4.84%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-25 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.08%E -5.04%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.63%E -5.20%K -13.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-24 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.53%E -5.29%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.18%E -5.57%K -14.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-24 22:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-25 01:05
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-25 02:30
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-25 02:00
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%6.7%2026-09-25 01:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%10.2%2026-09-24 20:55