Language:English
Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 48.75%2.05fair odd
EV +0.426%
Edge +0.207%
Kelly +0.402%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.73%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0653.48%50.90%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 51.25%1.95fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.27%51.32%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.851.9156.50%54.04%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 48.75%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 51.25%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.426%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV +0.426%E +0.207%K +0.402%G +0.002% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -4.68%E -2.51%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.549%E -0.269%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.549%E -0.269%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.52%E -0.755%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.65%E -1.94%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 21:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.21%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.73%E -3.70%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.68%E -2.51%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.70%E -3.10%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.70%E -3.10%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.45%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.63%E -1.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 18:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.21%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.21%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 21:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.29%E -5.25%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.10%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -9.29%E -5.25%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.33%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.65%E -1.94%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 07:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.51%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.84%E -4.73%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |