مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Minnesota Twins

البداية: 2026-05-05 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–11 Minnesota Twins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.75%2.05السعر العادل
EV +0.426%
الأفضلية +0.207%
Kelly +0.402%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.37%48.73%48.68%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.961.952.0653.48%50.90%51.28%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Minnesota Twins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.25%1.95السعر العادل
EV -2.11%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -2.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%51.27%51.32%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.851.851.9156.50%54.04%54.05%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV +0.426%E +0.207%K +0.402%G +0.002%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -4.68%E -2.51%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:34
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.062%E -0.030%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:29
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.549%E -0.269%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.549%E -0.269%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.52%E -0.755%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 19:50
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.65%E -1.94%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 21:05
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 21:09
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.21%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 21:54
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.73%E -3.70%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 21:05
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:05
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:05
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:05
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.24%E -4.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:05
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 21:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 21:05
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:10
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.68%E -2.51%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 17:55
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 21:10
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:10
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:39
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.70%E -3.10%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 17:55
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.96%E -2.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.70%E -3.10%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:10
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.45%E -2.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.63%E -1.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 22:20
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 15:04
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 15:04
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 15:55
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:09
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 18:14
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.21%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 20:20
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.21%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 21:09
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.75%E -4.31%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 22:45
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -4.94%E -2.53%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.29%E -5.25%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 22:45
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:45
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:45
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:45
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.10%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -5.42%E -2.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -9.29%E -5.25%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.40%E -3.33%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.65%E -1.94%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 07:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 22:45
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:04
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:04
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.89%E -3.61%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.19%E -2.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.37%E -3.88%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.51%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:45
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.84%E -4.73%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 22:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-05 22:25
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-05 15:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-05 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-05-05 22:45
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%1.9%2026-05-05 22:45
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-05 22:35
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-05-05 22:45
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-05-05 22:35