Language:English
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 56.27%1.78fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.32%56.27%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.7461.35%59.33%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 43.73%2.29fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.68%43.73%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.24%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 56.27%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 43.73%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV +1.46%E +0.631%K +1.11%G +0.016% | 3.0% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.589%E +0.256%K +0.453%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.589%E +0.256%K +0.453%G +0.003% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.29%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.286%E -0.125%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.723%E -0.319%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.60%E -0.710%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.710%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-31 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 21:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.10%E -1.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.04%E -0.909%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-01 19:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 20:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.91%E -2.91%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.04%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.16%E -3.88%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-01 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.34%E -5.05%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-01 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18% | 1.1% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-01 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-01 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 22:30 |